trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +34.2% | +21.4% | 50% | 50% | -66.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +59.7% | +44.5% | 50% | 50% | -19.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +59.7% | +44.5% | 50% | 50% | -19.5% |
| all | 20 | +8.5% | -1.8% | 70% | 45% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.8% | 45% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -11.2% | 40% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -19.8% | 25% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -27.7% | 15% | -34.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $19 | $19 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $19 | $18 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 53¢ | 40¢ | $21 | $16 | −$5 (-24%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $8 | +$13 | +168% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $15 | +$42 | +270% |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Mar 06 | $16 | +$13 | +78% |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Mar 06 | $16 | −$13 | -78% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | Mar 02 | $23 | +$10 | +43% |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans | Feb 22 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Feb 20 | $43 | +$4 | +10% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Feb 14 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $34 | +$15 | +45% |
| Warriors vs. Lakers | Feb 08 | $59 | +$14 | +24% |
| Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 07 | $46 | +$13 | +29% |
| Wizards vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline | Feb 05 | $46 | −$46 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Pistons | Feb 04 | $87 | +$7 | +9% |
| 76ers vs. Clippers | Feb 03 | $81 | +$8 | +9% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Feb 02 | $62 | +$21 | +33% |
| Knicks vs. Raptors | Jan 29 | $55 | +$8 | +14% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? | Jan 29 | $54 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 23? | Jan 24 | $49 | +$5 | +10% |