Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T21:36:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
E3 0xe3f4…8a95 crypto 63 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$164 (+6%) realized +$164 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate100%63W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day32.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$160
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +6.3% -3.9% 100% 3% -4.0%
≤30d 63 +6.3% -3.9% 100% 3% -4.0%
≤90d 63 +6.3% -3.9% 100% 3% -4.0%
all 63 +6.3% -3.9% 100% 3% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 3% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 0% -13.2%
15% -21.5% 0% -21.6%
20% -29.2% 0% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
87% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +6% · $-wt +6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses63 / 0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage2d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day32.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 19 $65 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 19 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $17 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $89 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $108 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $81 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $37 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $49 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 19 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $44 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $64 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $65 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $93 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $89 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $62 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $58 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $65 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $37 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $33 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $27 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $83 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $59 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $56 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $48 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $46 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $43 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $79 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 18 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 18 $81 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $50 +$2 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $65 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $31 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $44 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $89 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $108 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $51 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $81 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $37 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $36 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $13 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $11 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $26 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $23 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $44 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $64 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $40 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $93 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $89 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $32 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $62 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $58 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 136 history records