trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +88.3% | +70.4% | 50% | 50% | +121.8% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +62.7% | +47.2% | 47% | 47% | +100.5% |
| ≤90d | 68 | +43.3% | +29.7% | 32% | 31% | +59.6% |
| all | 523 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 29% | 28% | -45.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 28% | -45.3% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 26% | -50.6% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 25% | -55.4% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 25% | -59.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $6,188 | $11,348 | +$5,160 (+83%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | $1,000 | $1,024 | +$24 (+2%) |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1,300 | $900 | −$400 (-31%) |
| Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $450 | $378 | −$72 (-16%) |
| Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $300 | $249 | −$51 (-17%) |
| Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $400 | $204 | −$195 (-49%) |
| Will Amad Diallo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $52 | $36 | −$15 (-30%) |
| Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-14%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $1,000 | $2 | −$998 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1,022 | +$2,575 | +252% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1,022 | +$2,682 | +262% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,025 | +$4,531 | +442% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $5,538 | +$14,832 | +268% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1,019 | +$1,613 | +158% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $1,025 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1,024 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $1,023 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $1,020 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $1,027 | −$1,000 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $1,020 | +$1,921 | +188% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $3,699 | +$6,262 | +169% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 21 | $2,041 | −$2,000 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 21 | $612 | −$600 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 19 | $55 | −$54 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $409 | −$400 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 07 | $408 | −$400 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 05 | $407 | −$400 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $195 | +$1,082 | +555% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 05 | $424 | −$345 | -81% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 04 | $359 | −$350 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 03 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $307 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 03 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $204 | +$408 | +200% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 03 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $102 | +$155 | +152% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | May 02 | $102 | +$50 | +48% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $102 | +$201 | +197% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 01 | $433 | −$402 | -93% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | May 01 | $200 | −$33 | -16% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $102 | +$201 | +197% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 29 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 29 | $170 | −$130 | -77% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $100 | +$442 | +442% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $176 | −$172 | -98% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 27 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 27 | $100 | −$97 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 26 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $300 | −$293 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $330 | +$272 | +83% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 25 | $500 | −$488 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $700 | −$294 | -42% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 23 | $300 | −$296 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 23 | $300 | −$296 | -99% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 22 | $300 | −$242 | -80% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 22 | $461 | −$338 | -73% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 22 | $800 | −$778 | -97% |