trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 67% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 67% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 38% | 0% | -10.6% |
| all | 28 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 50% | 0% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 0% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 25 | $44 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 24 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 27 | $51 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $13 | +$1 | +8% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 24 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | May 23 | $27 | −$4 | -14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 21 | $26 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 21 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 21 | $31 | −$2 | -7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 19 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | Jun 25 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL? | May 26 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 16 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June? | May 16 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the | May 13 | $11 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 11 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | May 10 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025 | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on March 26? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 24 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 23 | $12 | $0 | +1% |