Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T12:32:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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E4 0xe418…5c1a crypto 1567 markets active 8h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 29d only
✗ bot/MM pace (90 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,197 (-8%) realized −$1,197 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate70%1091W / 476L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day89.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$79
7 days−$120
14 days−$120
30 days−$1,214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,214
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (90 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 249 -7.2% -16.1% 71% 40% -16.1%
≤30d 1567 -6.2% -15.2% 70% 51% -16.7%
≤90d 1567 -6.2% -15.2% 70% 51% -16.7%
all 1567 -6.2% -15.2% 70% 51% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 51% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 32% -24.6%
15% -30.7% 23% -31.9%
20% -37.5% 7% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$8 · ×0.29 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,197
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses1091 / 476
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1567 / 1567
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day89.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1567 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $8 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 20 $8 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 19 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 19 $8 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 19 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $4 +$1 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $8 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $8 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $8 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $8 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records