Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe41b…9397
crypto · 742 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$724 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$153 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$153
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses320 / 422
Open positions1
Markets (closed)742 / 742
History coverage60d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day36.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 742 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$14
14 days+$14
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Rodney Walker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $16 +$9 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$7 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$12 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$5 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$146
politics 0% −$6
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-22.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 -1.7% -11.0% 20% 18% -8.6%
≤30d 281 -24.5% -31.7% 30% 30% -9.1%
≤90d 742 -14.7% -22.9% 43% 17% -10.9%
all 742 -14.7% -22.9% 43% 17% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.9% 17% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 15% -19.4%
15% -37.0% 11% -27.2%
20% -43.2% 9% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records