Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe436…9be0
crypto · 46 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$374 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$678 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$678
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses22 / 24
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage16d
Avg bet$111
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$126
7 days−$126
14 days−$296
30 days−$678
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $156 −$139 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$13 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$85 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $130 −$89 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $93 +$88 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$32 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$73 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 06 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 06 $46 −$21 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $72 +$62 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 06 $286 −$224 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 06 $103 +$83 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $103 +$90 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $78 −$56 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 06 $51 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET May 29 $182 −$175 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 29 $130 −$25 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET May 29 $497 −$339 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 29 $207 +$107 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET May 29 $103 +$62 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 29 $119 −$115 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 29 $157 −$157 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 29 $27 −$21 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 29 $415 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 29 $263 +$246 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET May 29 $207 +$140 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 29 $151 +$178 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 29 $316 −$300 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 29 $104 +$81 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 29 $109 +$112 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET May 29 $79 +$177 +224%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 29 $33 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET May 29 $58 −$55 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 29 $78 +$38 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET May 29 $52 −$32 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET May 29 $77 +$36 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET May 29 $41 +$30 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 29 $26 −$15 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 29 $47 +$34 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 29 $16 +$12 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET May 29 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET May 29 $5 $0 -0%
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this we May 29 $16 −$5 -31%
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners May 29 $35 −$2 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$669
culture 1% −$8
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-6.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +0.2% -9.3% 44% 44% -25.8%
≤30d 46 +3.5% -6.4% 48% 48% -21.9%
≤90d 46 +3.5% -6.4% 48% 48% -21.9%
all 46 +3.5% -6.4% 48% 48% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.4% 48% -21.9%
10% -15.3% 46% -29.4%
15% -23.5% 46% -36.2%
20% -31.0% 41% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 183 history records