trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Curaçao | 52¢ | 50¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $100 | $97 | −$3 (-3%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | $60 | $59 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $35 | $34 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $17 | $16 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 19¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+426%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $32 | $0 | −$32 (-100%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Switzerland | 57¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 53¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $17 | +$72 | +416% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $33 | −$32 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $51 | +$42 | +83% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $26 | +$67 | +262% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$84 | +165% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $151 | +$63 | +41% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +220.8% | +190.3% | 60% | 60% | -3.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +220.8% | +190.3% | 60% | 60% | -3.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +220.8% | +190.3% | 60% | 60% | -3.5% |
| all | 10 | +220.8% | +190.3% | 60% | 60% | -3.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +190.3% | 60% | -3.5% |
| 10% | +162.5% | 60% | -12.8% |
| 15% | +137.1% | 60% | -21.2% |
| 20% | +113.9% | 50% | -28.9% |