Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T10:00:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E4 0xe455…a887 crypto 46 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$144 (+17%) realized +$144 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate37%17W / 29L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$18per market
Trades / day81.0pace
Kalshi-fit91%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$66
other 3% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-25.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -17.7% -25.5% 37% 35% -16.1%
≤30d 46 -17.7% -25.5% 37% 35% -16.1%
≤90d 46 -17.7% -25.5% 37% 35% -16.1%
all 46 -17.7% -25.5% 37% 35% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover81.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.5% 35% -16.1%
10% ← realistic here -32.7% 35% -24.1%
15% -39.2% 28% -31.5%
20% -45.1% 28% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 30% · top 2 52% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -18% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late -54% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$13 · ×1.44 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$144
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses17 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)46 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day81.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 46 Trades
no open positions (21 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 19 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 19 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 19 $108 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 19 $56 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $52 +$70 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 19 $16 +$10 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $12 +$12 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$96 +363%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$47 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $5 +$2 +33%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $5 −$5 -88%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $5 −$4 -74%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic? Jun 19 $5 +$15 +299%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 94 history records