Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:04:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe45d…64fe
other · 58 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses38 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)55 / 58
History coverage30d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit31%
Chart Positions 3 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$19
14 days−$8
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 95¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 64¢ 65¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? No 88¢ 88¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Nikola Bartunkova 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $1 $0 -19%
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald Jun 09 $1 $0 +24%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $9 $0 -2%
Will Central African Republic win on 2026-06-05? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-05? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Gambia win on 2026-05-29? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-04? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-04? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-05? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Andorra win on 2026-05-29? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 $0 +13%
Will Malta win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +55%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +23%
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $2 +$1 +45%
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +7%
Will Russia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +32%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +23%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $1 $0 +24%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $3 $0 +6%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $4 $0 +9%
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $1 +$1 +83%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $4 +$2 +45%
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $8 $0 +4%
Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 $0 +38%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 $0 +7%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 $0 +32%
Will Montenegro win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 $0 +31%
Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 $0 +6%
Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +119%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +105%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +90%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +0%
Will Czechia win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $1 $0 +32%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29? May 30 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 79% −$3
sports 17% −$3
world 3% +$2
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 12m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 65¢ $1 13m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 25h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 66¢ $1 29h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 77¢ $1 29h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 86¢ $1 33h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 78¢ $1 34h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Martin Landaluce 66¢ $1 2d
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 80¢ $1 2d
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme SELL Kaitlin Quevedo 67¢ $1 3d
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 81¢ $1 3d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally BUY Emma Navarro 58¢ $1 4d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally BUY Emma Navarro 45¢ $1 4d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Nikola Bartunkova 81¢ $1 4d
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald BUY Lulu Sun 80¢ $1 4d
Libema Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 95¢ $1 4d
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones BUY Laura Siegemund 92¢ $1 4d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Nikola Bartunkova 77¢ $1 4d
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis BUY Sorana Cirstea 97¢ $1 4d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 86¢ $1 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 88¢ $1 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 87¢ $1 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 88¢ $1 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? SELL Yes 87¢ $1 5d
Will France win on 2026-06-08? BUY Yes 88¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -51.3% -55.9% 35% 23% -52.6%
≤30d 54 -6.4% -15.3% 69% 48% -14.6%
≤90d 55 -6.2% -15.1% 69% 47% -14.5%
all 55 -6.2% -15.1% 69% 47% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 47% -14.5%
10% -23.2% 40% -22.7%
15% -30.7% 20% -30.1%
20% -37.5% 13% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.04 · official $8.04 (match) · 156 history records