Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:25:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
E4 0xe473…1522 crypto 334 markets active 2h ago coverage 61d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$5,947 (+1%) realized +$5,947 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%334W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,398per market
Trades / day26.8pace
Kalshi-fit81%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$689
7 days+$1,453
14 days+$2,019
30 days+$3,245
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$5,283
other 5% +$552
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 +1.2% -8.5% 100% 0% -7.7%
≤30d 148 +1.4% -8.2% 100% 1% -8.3%
≤90d 334 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.4%
all 334 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 0% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 0% -8.4%
10% -17.2% 0% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.2% 0% -25.2%
20% -32.5% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$2,430) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

61d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,947
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses334 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)334 / 334
History coverage61d
Avg bet$1,398
Trades / day26.8
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit81%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 334 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 17 $135 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $201 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $572 +$12 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $107 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $135 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $647 +$7 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $114 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $116 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $7,079 +$7 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $166 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $135 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 16 $6,679 +$401 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $4,322 +$44 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $351 +$4 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $79 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $190 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $88 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $44 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $6,777 +$127 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $85 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 15 $3,344 +$78 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $1,417 +$13 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 15 $116 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $89 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $107 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $6,673 +$67 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $39 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5,900 +$419 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $88 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $377 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3,109 +$29 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $178 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $174 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $479 +$10 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $179 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6,145 +$62 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $470 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2,409 +$24 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $178 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $228 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1,305 +$13 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $576 +$6 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $217 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $135 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $201 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $572 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $107 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $9 7h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $135 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $647 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $925 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6,154 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $116 16h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $114 16h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $166 17h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $135 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,750 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,866 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3,062 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $60 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $83 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $24 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $40 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $163 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2023 history records