trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 38% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 22 | +46.0% | +32.1% | 68% | 9% | +7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +32.1% | 9% | +7.6% |
| 10% | +19.4% | 5% | -2.7% |
| 15% | +7.9% | 5% | -12.1% |
| 20% | -2.7% | 5% | -20.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 81¢ | $48 | $48 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -5% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $33 | +$1 | +2% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York | Jun 29 | $6 | +$63 | +1090% |
| Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | May 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 28 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New Democratic Party win the third most seats in the next Can | Apr 27 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 19 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 66°F or higher on March 28? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? | Mar 25 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8? | Mar 20 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| South Florida vs. Temple | Feb 26 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Feb 26 | $11 | −$1 | -6% |