trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +32.8% | +20.1% | 67% | 67% | -14.2% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 60% | 60% | -13.2% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 60% | 60% | -13.2% |
| all | 5 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 60% | 60% | -13.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.0% | 60% | -13.2% |
| 10% | -14.1% | 60% | -21.5% |
| 15% | -22.4% | 40% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -30.0% | 40% | -36.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30? | No | 87¢ | 96¢ | $50 | $55 | +$5 (+10%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 72¢ | $50 | $51 | +$1 (+2%) |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 48¢ | 60¢ | $25 | $31 | +$6 (+26%) |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | No | 40¢ | 40¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | No | 59¢ | 57¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 26¢ | 22¢ | $25 | $22 | −$3 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be 5+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 27 | $25 | +$15 | +60% |
| Türkiye vs. United States: Draw at halftime? | Jun 25 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime? | Jun 24 | $5 | +$7 | +138% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$1 | +27% |