Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe488…9dcc
crypto · 670 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses374 / 296
Open positions0
Markets (closed)670 / 670
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 670 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$41
14 days+$38
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +146%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$12
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 +3.9% -6.0% 59% 58% -4.8%
≤30d 670 -2.6% -11.9% 56% 54% -10.1%
≤90d 670 -2.6% -11.9% 56% 54% -10.1%
all 670 -2.6% -11.9% 56% 54% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 54% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 49% -18.7%
15% -28.0% 43% -26.6%
20% -35.1% 36% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1108 history records