Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe48e…f622
crypto · 946 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses582 / 359
Open positions4
Markets (closed)941 / 946
History coverage18d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day55.6
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 941 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$14
14 days+$28
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 62¢ 81¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 61¢ 78¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 825 +0.6% -9.0% 64% 64% -8.1%
≤30d 941 +0.1% -9.4% 62% 62% -8.9%
≤90d 941 +0.1% -9.4% 62% 62% -8.9%
all 941 +0.1% -9.4% 62% 62% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 62% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 61% -17.6%
15% -26.0% 59% -25.6%
20% -33.2% 49% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.73 · official $2.22 (match) · 1552 history records