Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe49d…c3db
sports · 759 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$5,103 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,481 · open −$622
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$390
Realized−$4,481
Unrealized−$622
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses372 / 384
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$1,206
Open positions3
Markets (closed)756 / 759
Avg bet$219
Trades / day3.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 756 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$202
7 days−$735
14 days+$384
30 days−$3,027
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 51¢ 26¢ $747 $390 −$358 (-48%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 49¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 15¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) LYON 47¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivals Team WE 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Ninjas in Pyjamas 50¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5) Gen.G 65¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Kiwoom DRX 22¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 29¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 71¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner Weibo Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5) Dplus KIA 35¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION Challengers 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stage Nongshim Red Force 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 27¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner Ground Zero Gaming 47¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Top Esports 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Ultra Prime 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 59¢ 0¢ $262 $0 −$262 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 66¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $132 −$51 -39%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $171 −$38 -22%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $104 +$15 +15%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $208 +$67 +32%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $77 +$122 +159%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $101 +$68 +67%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $453 +$18 +4%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $159 +$5 +3%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $15 −$4 -27%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $150 −$2 -1%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) Jun 09 $302 +$103 +34%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $552 +$79 +14%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $15 −$14 -95%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $600 +$149 +25%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $303 +$151 +50%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $987 +$88 +9%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,297 −$164 -13%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $266 −$262 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $251 −$119 -47%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $167 −$20 -12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $152 −$150 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $326 −$322 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $512 −$59 -12%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $628 +$59 +9%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $303 −$300 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $99 −$97 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $122 −$120 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $123 −$121 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $152 +$86 +57%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $302 +$98 +32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $313 −$10 -3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $905 +$79 +9%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $814 +$109 +13%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $699 +$93 +13%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $172 +$31 +18%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $60 +$77 +129%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $542 +$57 +10%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $152 −$150 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $26 −$23 -90%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $304 +$74 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $380 +$667 +175%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $220 +$7 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $34 −$34 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $76 −$76 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $279 −$153 -55%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $51 +$35 +70%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $112 −$36 -32%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $51 +$59 +116%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $180 +$9 +5%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $151 +$30 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$4,708
crypto 2% −$395
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $316 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $9 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $164 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $10 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $10 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $145 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ $20 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ $151 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 16¢ $22 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $51 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $20 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 49¢ $76 3h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 29¢ $31 24h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia SELL CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 15¢ $28 24h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia SELL CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 14¢ $10 25h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 36¢ $95 26h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia SELL CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 35¢ $91 26h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $120 26h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 87¢ $104 27h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner SELL Saigon Warriors 100¢ $150 27h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 50¢ $55 28h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 50¢ $10 28h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 50¢ $10 28h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner SELL Saigon Warriors 51¢ $126 28h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Saigon Warriors 51¢ $23 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -20.2% -27.8% 47% 33% -16.9%
≤30d 181 -0.9% -10.3% 54% 42% -11.8%
≤90d 422 -4.4% -13.5% 54% 45% -10.2%
all 756 -4.1% -13.3% 49% 43% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 43% -11.6%
10% -21.6% 36% -20.0%
15% -29.1% 29% -27.8%
20% -36.1% 22% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $389.86 · official $389.86 (match) · 2433 history records