Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:31:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe4a6…c61a
crypto · 1275 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,081 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,081 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,081
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses773 / 502
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1275 / 1275
History coverage26d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day90.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1275 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,042
7 days−$4,854
14 days−$4,706
30 days−$5,081
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $203 +$54 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$25 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$12 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$32 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$20 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $203 +$42 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$9 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $201 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$31 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$5 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $102 −$2 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $152 +$21 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$84 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$28 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$53 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$37 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $113 +$81 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$54 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$8 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$14 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$8 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$10 -49%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5,078
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $50 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $121 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $101 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $257 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $203 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $52 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $101 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $63 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $134 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $71 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $51 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $245 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $203 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $51 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $217 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $201 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $132 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $102 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $106 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $102 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $62 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $61 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 745 -20.0% -27.6% 57% 55% -42.2%
≤30d 1275 -7.7% -16.4% 61% 57% -25.9%
≤90d 1275 -7.7% -16.4% 61% 57% -25.9%
all 1275 -7.7% -16.4% 61% 57% -25.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 57% -25.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 34% -33.0%
15% -31.7% 19% -39.4%
20% -38.4% 10% -45.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records