Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe4ab…7d30
sports · 423 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$48 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$277
Realized+$24
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses191 / 184
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions47
Markets (closed)375 / 423
History coverage31d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown95%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 47 History 375 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$19
7 days−$39
14 days−$21
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 42¢ 100¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+139%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Julia Avdeeva 41¢ 100¢ $5 $12 +$7 (+143%)
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) Galions 60¢ 65¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 40¢ 44¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 20¢ 41¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+105%)
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5) UCAM Esports Club 46¢ 46¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Virtus.pro 32¢ 59¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+84%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova Robin Montgomery 29¢ 50¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+71%)
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5) Eintracht Spandau 24¢ 35¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+46%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel Alexander Shevchenko 46¢ 62¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+35%)
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Dominick Mosejczuk 40¢ 47¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+17%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Ella Seidel 32¢ 37¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+16%)
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem Cesar Bouchelaghem 48¢ 53¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+11%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 74¢ 79¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 38¢ 40¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Bondar Bondar 53¢ 55¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+2.5) Solary 53¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Galions 78¢ 78¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka Jiri Lehecka 61¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu Rei Sakamoto 34¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) Team Liquid 65¢ 66¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Under 96¢ 96¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score No 60¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Solary 91¢ 90¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5) Gauff 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $5 $0 -10%
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1 of the Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $15 +$16 +106%
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5) Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -19%
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open? Jun 14 $4 −$2 -50%
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Will Turkiye reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Pedri: 2+ goals Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 14 $5 $0 -5%
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $9 −$1 -8%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseaso Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -25%
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 -8%
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy? Jun 14 $5 −$3 -63%
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Jun 14 $10 −$2 -22%
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Rodri: 2+ goals Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Will Josh Allen be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? Jun 14 $5 −$3 -50%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gra Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Will Aaron Rodgers be on the cover of Madden NFL 27? Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 14 $10 −$5 -50%
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $5 −$2 -47%
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Gran Jun 14 $5 $0 -7%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $5 −$1 -12%
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 −$1 -13%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Will La Rochelle win the 2026 Top 14 Final? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -20%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $15 −$5 -32%
Will Tom Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 14 $5 $0 -8%
Will Senne Lammens win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -19%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $4 −$1 -16%
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $5 −$1 -24%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 −$11 -55%
Spread: Australia (-2.5) Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 35 or more p Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% +$18
other 18% −$4
politics 2% $0
world 1% −$6
crypto 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Set 1 Winner: Blinkova vs Bondar BUY Bondar 53¢ $5 7m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Ella Seidel 32¢ $5 9m
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Cesar Bouchelaghem 48¢ $5 9m
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan BUY Pakistan 9¢ $5 12m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 89¢ $9 15m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 47¢ $5 16m
ITF Monastir: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Cesar Bouchelaghem BUY Dominick Mosejczuk 40¢ $5 16m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 67¢ $5 24m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 32¢ $5 28m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 47¢ $5 31m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 43¢ $5 47m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Bondar 37¢ $5 48m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Taro Daniel BUY Alexander Shevchenko 46¢ $5 56m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 33¢ $5 59m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Ben Shelton 48¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Alicia Dudeney 59¢ $5 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Taylah Preston 41¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 33¢ $3 1h
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu BUY Rei Sakamoto 34¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $5 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 38¢ $5 1h
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 46¢ $5 1h
Nottingham 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Mackenzie McDonald BUY Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 48¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 25¢ $5 1h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Celine Naef BUY Celine Naef 43¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 61¢ $5 1h
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Barbora Krejcikova BUY Robin Montgomery 29¢ $5 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Solary 91¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken BUY Harry Wendelken 41¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 56¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 -5.7% -14.7% 50% 31% -12.8%
≤30d 369 -1.9% -11.3% 51% 37% -9.0%
≤90d 375 -1.5% -10.9% 51% 37% -8.4%
all 375 -1.5% -10.9% 51% 37% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 37% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 31% -17.1%
15% -27.2% 27% -25.2%
20% -34.3% 21% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $277.19 · official $277.19 (match) · 997 history records