Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T16:39:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E4 0xe4c7…647a crypto 220 markets active 2h ago coverage 21d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (95 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$28 (-0%) realized −$28 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR24%break-even
Win rate45%100W / 120L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day94.7pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$161
14 days−$161
30 days−$170
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$161
sports 1% −$9
culture 0% −$1
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (95 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -10.9% -19.4% 47% 25% -12.0%
≤30d 220 -11.2% -19.6% 45% 24% -12.2%
≤90d 220 -11.2% -19.6% 45% 24% -12.2%
all 220 -11.2% -19.6% 45% 24% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover94.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 24% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 3% -20.6%
15% -34.3% 1% -28.2%
20% -40.8% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
5.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$4 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses100 / 120
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)220 / 220
History coverage21d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day94.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 220 Trades
no open positions (19 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$4 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$26 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $54 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$4 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$2 -9%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $27 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$6 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $53 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$4 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$5 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$3 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$3 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$3 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 26 $23 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $25 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 26 $24 −$6 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$7 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$1 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$6 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $25 −$3 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $53 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$5 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$5 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$3 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $52 +$3 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $51 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $27 −$15 -58%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $23 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$3 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$11 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$2 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $26 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$2 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 26 $27 +$3 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $27 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $27 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $13 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $6 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $18 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $21 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2102 history records