Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:34:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E4 0xe4cc…197a crypto 1300 markets active 0h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$722 (-10%) realized −$722 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate60%777W / 523L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day86.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$23
14 days+$23
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$194
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 +0.3% -9.3% 76% 68% -1.5%
≤30d 839 -0.7% -10.1% 59% 42% -10.9%
≤90d 1300 -3.3% -12.5% 60% 40% -12.0%
all 1300 -3.3% -12.5% 60% 40% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover86.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 40% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 21% -20.5%
15% -28.5% 11% -28.1%
20% -35.5% 6% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
30% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.54 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$722
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses777 / 523
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1300 / 1300
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day86.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1300 Trades
no open positions (53 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records