Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:28:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe4d0…70e6
crypto · 30 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$46 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses15 / 14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)29 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day56.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$47
7 days−$47
14 days−$47
30 days−$47
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 56¢ 57¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$27 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $7 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -18.2% -26.0% 52% 48% -25.1%
≤30d 29 -18.2% -26.0% 52% 48% -25.1%
≤90d 29 -18.2% -26.0% 52% 48% -25.1%
all 29 -18.2% -26.0% 52% 48% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.0% 48% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -33.0% 34% -32.3%
15% -39.5% 21% -38.8%
20% -45.4% 7% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.14 · official $4.51 (match) · 81 history records