Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:45:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe4e1…9abd
crypto · 88 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized−$42
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses34 / 53
Open positions1
Markets (closed)87 / 88
History coverage60d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 98¢ 86¢ $20 $17 −$3 (-13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$11 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$3 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$7 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$8 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$14 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$10 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$5 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$52 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$26 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$13 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $17 −$16 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $24 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$6 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$5 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $17 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $13 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$1 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$45
tech 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -15.1% -23.2% 40% 35% -7.6%
≤30d 63 -15.1% -23.2% 40% 35% -7.6%
≤90d 87 -18.7% -26.4% 39% 33% -13.9%
all 87 -18.7% -26.4% 39% 33% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.4% 33% -13.9%
10% -33.5% 25% -22.2%
15% -39.9% 21% -29.7%
20% -45.8% 18% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.38 · official $15.75 · 405 history records