Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:46:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe50a…c0f1
weather · 27 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$2 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions26
Markets (closed)1 / 27
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 26 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? Yes 25¢ 34¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+36%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? Yes 38¢ 50¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+30%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16? Yes 41¢ 46¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16? Yes 35¢ 36¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? Yes 27¢ 27¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15? Yes 42¢ 41¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16? Yes 41¢ 40¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16? Yes 27¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-28%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? Yes 9¢ 26¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+194%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 25¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-32%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16? Yes 26¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16? Yes 20¢ 19¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? Yes 36¢ 40¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15? Yes 23¢ 37¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? Yes 14¢ 28¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+100%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? Yes 26¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-29%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15? Yes 14¢ 8¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-39%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16? Yes 12¢ 6¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-54%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-45%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16? BUY Yes 41¢ $4 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 15? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 21h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 21h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 21h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 23h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 42¢ $5 23h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 23h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 23h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 34h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 34h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 34h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 43¢ $3 34h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 39h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 39h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.24 · official $83.24 (match) · 27 history records