Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe50a…515d
crypto · 206 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,248 -80%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,248 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,248
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses173 / 296
Open positions0
Markets (closed)469 / 206
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day834.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 469 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,248
7 days−$1,248
14 days−$1,248
30 days−$1,248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-62.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 469 -58.0% -62.0% 37% 25% -50.1%
≤30d 469 -58.0% -62.0% 37% 25% -50.1%
≤90d 469 -58.0% -62.0% 37% 25% -50.1%
all 469 -58.0% -62.0% 37% 25% -50.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover834.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.0% 25% -50.1%
10% ← realistic here -65.7% 1% -54.9%
15% -69.0% 0% -59.2%
20% -72.0% 0% -63.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records