Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:19:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe515…4739
crypto · 108 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$54 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses64 / 40
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)104 / 108
History coverage16d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day11.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 104 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$4
14 days−$39
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Karmine Corp Blue 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster Challengers 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Karmine Corp Blue 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $10 −$1 -14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -88%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $10 +$1 +8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 09 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $11 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -60%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $10 +$1 +9%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +114%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A Jun 08 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 08 $7 +$1 +21%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 08 $6 +$3 +42%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $10 $0 +4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $3 +$1 +29%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 03 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$5 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$2 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 02 $2 +$2 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$39
sports 23% −$15
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Anubis Gaming 31¢ $1 9h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 76¢ $5 9h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $2 14h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 72¢ $4 14h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 42¢ $4 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 35¢ $3 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $3 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 6¢ $0 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 47¢ $2 16h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $3 38h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $2 2d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G BUY Karmine Corp Blue 53¢ $2 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL G2 NORD 100¢ $6 2d
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 92¢ $10 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 80¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -10.3% -18.8% 63% 40% -7.0%
≤30d 104 -12.1% -20.5% 62% 42% -17.1%
≤90d 104 -12.1% -20.5% 62% 42% -17.1%
all 104 -12.1% -20.5% 62% 42% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.5% 42% -17.1%
10% -28.1% 30% -25.0%
15% -35.0% 15% -32.2%
20% -41.4% 11% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.96 · official $8.96 (match) · 230 history records