trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -0.9% | -10.4% | 4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 17 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 17 | $999 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 17 | $1,086 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Jun 17 | $1,057 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,012 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 17 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 17 | $1,000 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 16 | $1,071 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 16 | $1,113 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 16 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Jun 16 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 16 | $1,006 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 21 | $151 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | Apr 18 | $300 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Apr 18 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 17 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Apr 16 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | Apr 16 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| Human moon landing in 2026? | Apr 15 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 29 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election | Mar 29 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Mar 29 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Mar 25 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Jerome Powell arrested by March 31? | Mar 25 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 25 | $63 | $0 | -0% |