trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -55.0% | -59.3% | 0% | 0% | -59.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +317.3% | +277.5% | 50% | 50% | +21.6% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +91.6% | +73.3% | 50% | 50% | +2.5% |
| all | 28 | +65.4% | +49.7% | 50% | 46% | +5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +49.7% | 46% | +5.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +35.4% | 39% | -4.9% |
| 15% | +22.3% | 29% | -14.1% |
| 20% | +10.3% | 21% | -22.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? | Yes | 30¢ | 34¢ | $165 | $187 | +$22 (+13%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 17 | $375 | −$206 | -55% |
| Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? | May 26 | $562 | −$542 | -97% |
| Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | May 26 | $798 | +$609 | +76% |
| Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch? | May 26 | $3,911 | +$1,458 | +37% |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | May 26 | $7,173 | +$3,550 | +50% |
| Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch? | May 25 | $340 | −$239 | -70% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $5,753 | −$4,663 | -81% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Apr 30 | $5 | −$4 | -94% |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Apr 23 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Unitas Labs FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Apr 23 | $963 | −$963 | -100% |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Apr 22 | $7,296 | +$927 | +13% |
| USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Apr 22 | $7,278 | +$2,210 | +30% |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $5,326 | +$2,368 | +44% |
| Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Apr 09 | $1,396 | −$540 | -39% |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Apr 01 | $6,030 | +$3,416 | +57% |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Apr 01 | $299 | +$54 | +18% |
| EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Mar 31 | $1,654 | +$464 | +28% |
| Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Mar 31 | $986 | −$254 | -26% |
| Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Mar 19 | $986 | −$485 | -49% |
| Katana FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Mar 18 | $986 | −$540 | -55% |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Mar 18 | $1,986 | −$748 | -38% |
| Yellow FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Mar 10 | $774 | +$236 | +30% |
| Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Mar 10 | $986 | +$661 | +67% |
| Yellow FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Mar 10 | $1,713 | +$1,822 | +106% |
| Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Mar 03 | $1,105 | +$2,413 | +218% |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Feb 18 | $718 | +$18 | +2% |
| Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Feb 13 | $1,490 | −$109 | -7% |
| Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Feb 13 | $163 | −$150 | -92% |