Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:22:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe522…8c25
sports · 85 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$488 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$287 · open −$101
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,340
Realized−$287
Unrealized−$101
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses43 / 37
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions5
Markets (closed)80 / 85
History coverage4d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day53.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 5 History 80 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$331
7 days−$287
14 days−$287
30 days−$287
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 64¢ 100¢ $840 $1,302 +$462 (+55%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? No 65¢ 56¢ $23 $19 −$3 (-15%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? Yes 37¢ 34¢ $17 $15 −$2 (-9%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? Yes 36¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-16%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 36¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 61¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 56¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays No 50¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 31¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 56¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 75¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 23¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets No 54¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Vitality 69¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Yes 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 67¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 14¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Benjamin Bonzi 23¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 61¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 Jun 14 $15 +$2 +16%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $46 +$5 +11%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $18 +$10 +57%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $60 +$23 +37%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $31 +$2 +7%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $6 +$6 +105%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $61 +$38 +62%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $60 +$21 +34%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $18 −$18 -99%
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $28 +$6 +21%
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? Jun 13 $15 −$8 -58%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $6 $0 -5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $19 +$42 +221%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $77 −$16 -21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $60 −$60 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $76 −$15 -19%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $61 +$39 +65%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $60 −$59 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$12 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $61 −$60 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $60 +$17 +29%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $60 +$13 +21%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$54 +870%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $61 −$60 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $120 +$12 +10%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $60 +$19 +32%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $29 +$3 +10%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$8 +33%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $28 +$5 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $61 −$60 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $8 −$2 -21%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $62 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $49 −$48 -99%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$11 +73%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$17 +101%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $43 +$40 +93%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $7 +$5 +67%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$17 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $17 +$15 +91%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $26 +$41 +158%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $31 +$3 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$321
world 8% −$15
other 6% −$49
politics 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $6 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 66¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 63¢ $61 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $89 1h
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 SELL Yes 46¢ $5 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 37¢ $17 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $15 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 50¢ $30 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 47¢ $6 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 53¢ $7 2h
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? BUY No 66¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 44% -19.5%
≤30d 80 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 44% -19.5%
≤90d 80 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 44% -19.5%
all 80 -1.4% -10.8% 54% 44% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 44% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 35% -27.2%
15% -27.1% 29% -34.2%
20% -34.2% 24% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,339.80 · official $1,339.80 (match) · 245 history records