Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T06:38:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe522…b700 crypto 140 markets active 10d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2779 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL −$1,732 (-10%) realized −$1,732 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +202% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +133% what you keep after slip
Net edge+133%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate52%86W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$129per market
Trades / day2779.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$5now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$547
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2779 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+173.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +1328.0% +1192.0% 68% 68% +351.6%
≤30d 165 +202.5% +173.7% 52% 38% -12.1%
≤90d 165 +202.5% +173.7% 52% 38% -12.1%
all 165 +202.5% +173.7% 52% 38% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2779.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +173.7% 38% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here +147.5% 24% -20.5%
15% +123.6% 18% -28.2%
20% +101.6% 13% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +202% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +400% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
19.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$14 vs −$19 · ×0.74 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$5
Realized−$1,732
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses86 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)165 / 140
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$129
Trades / day2779.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 165 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$38 -5288%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$23 -2683%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$61 -7582%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$17 -2353%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 29 $1 −$24 -3888%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$4 -1227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 −$32 -7808%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 29 $0 −$20 -8746%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$51 +55843%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$8 +21602%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$32 +64859%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$35 +87497%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$4 +2716%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$13 +31684%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$34 +31420%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$12 +6352%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$18 +14733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$49 +82132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$23 +257190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$38 +79109%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$5 +283006%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 29 $0 +$27 +14063%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$42 +32398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$5 +3637%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 29 $0 +$64 +180339%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $39 +$18 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $73 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 19 $57 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $215 −$37 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $147 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 19 $178 −$31 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 19 $52 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 19 $190 +$15 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 19 $187 −$10 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $56 −$26 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 19 $452 −$17 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 19 $270 −$35 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $105 +$21 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $135 +$18 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $177 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $234 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $402 −$38 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $70 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $109 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $265 −$28 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $103 −$10 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $166 −$16 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $168 −$18 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $77 +$13 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $12 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $18 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $17 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $13 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.29 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records