Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:18:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe527…2131
crypto · 95 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,574 -36%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,386 · open −$190
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$666
Realized−$5,386
Unrealized−$190
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses59 / 25
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions11
Markets (closed)84 / 95
History coverage600d
Avg bet$165
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 11 History 84 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,069
7 days−$6,158
14 days−$6,034
30 days−$5,561
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 85¢ 88¢ $100 $104 +$3 (+3%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 83¢ 40¢ $200 $95 −$105 (-52%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $88 $95 +$7 (+8%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $100 $86 −$14 (-14%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 29¢ 48¢ $20 $33 +$13 (+67%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 16¢ 15¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-4%)
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-6%)
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 24¢ 1¢ $98 $4 −$94 (-96%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 98¢ 97¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $213 +$23 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$4 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +9%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $129 −$8 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship? Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena Frech Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Jun 12 $364 −$364 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 46% −$5,974
politics 26% +$434
sports 17% −$86
world 7% +$163
other 4% −$114
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 33m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -16.5% -24.4% 70% 14% -70.6%
≤30d 82 -5.5% -14.5% 71% 27% -47.9%
≤90d 82 -5.5% -14.5% 71% 27% -47.9%
all 84 -5.9% -14.9% 70% 27% -43.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.9% 27% -43.2%
10% -23.0% 15% -48.6%
15% -30.5% 8% -53.6%
20% -37.3% 7% -58.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $666.00 · official $666.00 (match) · 264 history records