Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:18:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe52e…cb66
crypto · 1002 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$320 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$326 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$279
Realized−$326
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses655 / 361
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions15
Markets (closed)1016 / 1002
History coverage55d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day51.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 15 History 1016 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$134
7 days−$124
14 days−$108
30 days−$126
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 92¢ 92¢ $109 $108 −$1 (-0%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 83¢ 88¢ $58 $61 +$3 (+5%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $37 $36 −$1 (-2%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 63¢ 61¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 97¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 90¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 40¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 1PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 2PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$2 -207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$6 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -42%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Jun 13 $71 −$5 -8%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 13 $129 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 13 $28 −$3 -9%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 +$2 +19%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $13 +$1 +7%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$9 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 −$2 -50%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? Jun 10 $88 +$1 +2%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $6 +$1 +24%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $15 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% −$231
world 7% +$6
sports 5% +$44
politics 4% +$5
other 3% −$24
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 55¢ $1 11m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 14m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 1h
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $10 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? SELL No 52¢ $6 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL No 100¢ $22 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 38¢ $10 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 95¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $15 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 2h
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $5 18h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? SELL Yes 98¢ $45 18h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 98¢ $10 18h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 83¢ $25 18h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 99¢ $3 19h
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? BUY Yes 97¢ $35 23h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 91¢ $1 25h
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $5 25h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 97¢ $10 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 87¢ $10 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 86¢ $1 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 74¢ $1 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 66¢ $5 25h
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 98¢ $5 42h
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 97¢ $10 42h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -56.9% -61.0% 27% 12% -26.4%
≤30d 147 -22.9% -30.3% 48% 24% -15.8%
≤90d 1016 -4.6% -13.7% 64% 47% -12.4%
all 1016 -4.6% -13.7% 64% 47% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 47% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 33% -20.7%
15% -29.5% 23% -28.4%
20% -36.4% 16% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $279.22 · official $289.25 · 3500 history records