Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T06:15:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe52f…bbca crypto 320 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (3189 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$20,627 (+138%) realized +$20,623 · open +$4
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR39%break-even
Win rate51%160W / 156L
Drawdown8%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day3189.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$34now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$3,744
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3189 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 +12.0% +1.3% 51% 39% +13.5%
≤30d 316 +12.0% +1.3% 51% 39% +13.5%
≤90d 316 +12.0% +1.3% 51% 39% +13.5%
all 316 +12.0% +1.3% 51% 39% +13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3189.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.3% 39% +13.5%
10% ← realistic here -8.4% 33% +2.7%
15% -17.2% 27% -7.3%
20% -25.3% 22% -16.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 30% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +26% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +26% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +22% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
8.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$40 vs −$17 · ×2.37 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×2.43 per $1 lost it wins $2.43
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$34
Realized+$20,623
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses160 / 156
Open positions3
Markets (closed)316 / 320
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$47
Trades / day3189.0
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 316 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 42¢ 48¢ $17 $19 +$2 (+14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 41¢ 48¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 63¢ 62¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 4 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $48 −$44 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $53 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $11 +$11 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $54 +$48 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $100 −$100 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $85 −$74 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $22 −$1 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $27 −$3 -11%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$16 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $65 −$20 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $26 +$22 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$18 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$7 -66%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $11 −$11 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $44 −$35 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $13 −$8 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$22 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $16 −$16 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $14 −$6 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $51 +$27 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $49 +$29 +58%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $41 +$9 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $80 +$37 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $57 −$57 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $18 −$16 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 19 $72 +$70 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 19 $83 −$69 -83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $62 +$38 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $33 +$20 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $46 +$8 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $9 −$5 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 19 $43 +$21 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $14 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$10 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 19 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $23 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $29 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.50 · official $33.50 (match) · 3500 history records