trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| all | 9 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.6% | 0% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -17.4% | 0% | -17.3% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $343 | $343 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $296 | $299 | +$3 (+1%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | $220 | $219 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 93¢ | 93¢ | $181 | $181 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? | Jun 17 | $180 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 05 | $219 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | Jun 05 | $268 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | Jun 05 | $307 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | Jun 05 | $241 | $0 | +0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | May 06 | $227 | +$7 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | May 06 | $236 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | May 06 | $255 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 06 | $300 | +$9 | +3% |