trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -63.1% | -66.6% | 25% | 25% | -61.5% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -54.6% | -58.9% | 29% | 29% | -30.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -59.9% | -63.7% | 28% | 22% | -71.6% |
| all | 20 | -47.6% | -52.6% | 35% | 30% | -53.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -52.6% | 30% | -53.7% |
| 10% | -57.1% | 25% | -58.1% |
| 15% | -61.3% | 25% | -62.2% |
| 20% | -65.1% | 20% | -65.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 69¢ | 97¢ | $100 | $140 | +$40 (+40%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +48% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | May 29 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May? | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May? | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16? | Apr 15 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | Apr 14 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | Apr 14 | $20 | −$19 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Apr 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Apr 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on March 13? | Apr 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Apr 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 14 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Apr 14 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | Apr 14 | $20 | +$16 | +78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 18? | Apr 14 | $4 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 18 | $20 | +$12 | +61% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | Mar 17 | $10 | +$6 | +64% |