Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:21:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe542…0a37
other · 352 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$311,255 +148%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$66,955 · open +$6,918
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$103,399
Realized+$66,955
Unrealized+$6,918
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses79 / 200
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$1,976
Open positions319
Markets (closed)279 / 352
History coverage20d
Avg bet$597
Trades / day165.3
Drawdown9%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 319 History 279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,144
7 days−$1,180
14 days+$6,091
30 days+$66,955
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 40¢ 61¢ $12,803 $19,196 +$6,393 (+50%)
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 33¢ 22¢ $10,493 $7,241 −$3,251 (-31%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $6,606 $6,709 +$103 (+2%)
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 55¢ 57¢ $5,003 $5,265 +$261 (+5%)
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $3,550 $3,804 +$254 (+7%)
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3,039 $3,600 +$562 (+18%)
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 11¢ 13¢ $2,521 $2,984 +$463 (+18%)
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 88¢ $2,686 $2,784 +$98 (+4%)
Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? No 75¢ 85¢ $2,311 $2,619 +$308 (+13%)
Will England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? No 59¢ 85¢ $1,770 $2,550 +$780 (+44%)
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? No 60¢ 80¢ $1,800 $2,385 +$585 (+32%)
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? No 63¢ 76¢ $1,890 $2,295 +$405 (+21%)
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 80¢ 82¢ $2,161 $2,219 +$58 (+3%)
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2,378 $2,059 −$319 (-13%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1,628 $2,053 +$426 (+26%)
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $2,012 $1,989 −$23 (-1%)
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $2,076 $1,768 −$309 (-15%)
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $1,728 $1,386 −$342 (-20%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 9¢ 16¢ $766 $1,369 +$602 (+79%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 23¢ 27¢ $1,078 $1,287 +$209 (+19%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 20¢ 26¢ $958 $1,240 +$282 (+29%)
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1,628 $1,202 −$426 (-26%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $997 $992 −$5 (-1%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 10¢ 16¢ $577 $954 +$377 (+65%)
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 73¢ 76¢ $791 $824 +$33 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Stephan Jaeger win the 2026 The American Express tournament? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Padres vs. Cubs Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Austria win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Travis Hunter be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Jalen Hurts win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5) Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Latvia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Denver Nuggets finish with the best record in the NBA? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Jun 14 $7 $0 -6%
Will Joe Burrow win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Chiefs vs. Broncos Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will England win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Julian Nagelsmann be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-03-12? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Karim Adeyemi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga se Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-01-16? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miam Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Vikings win the NFC Championship? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers? Jun 14 $65 −$65 -101%
Will Mads Pedersen win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Fonseca vs. Spizzirri: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 −$3 -92%
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2025 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $320 −$320 -100%
Will BUF/SF/NE/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-04? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Tottenham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier Leag Jun 14 $29 −$61 -211%
Will Jonathan Burkardt be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundeslig Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16? Jun 14 $2 −$26 -1161%
Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Ol Jun 14 $96 −$95 -99%
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Europe win the Laver Cup? Jun 14 $2 −$21 -1385%
Will Equatorial Guinea win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team? Jun 14 $187 −$187 -100%
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? Jun 14 $37 −$10 -28%
Hornets vs. Celtics Jun 14 $1 +$7 +615%
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Rory McIlroy finish as leader after Round 1? Jun 14 $157 −$213 -136%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals, Green Bay Packers, and Dallas Cowboys all Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Rahmani vs. Trabelsi Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Cam Spencer: Points O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $22 −$20 -91%
Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% +$31,727
sports 40% +$46,021
world 9% +$661
crypto 1% +$428
politics 0% +$317
culture 0% −$1,585
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Austria win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 84¢ $6 26m
Will Federico Valverde record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World BUY No 90¢ $76 28m
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $955 2h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $318 2h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $967 2h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $47 2h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 2h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $637 2h
Will Türkiye be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 BUY Yes 21¢ $19 2h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $96 2h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 88¢ $655 2h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $64 2h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 83¢ $29 2h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $14 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 3h
Will Australia be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 202 BUY Yes 19¢ $10 3h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 3h
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 71¢ $396 3h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $17 3h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $0 3h
Will Japan reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 73¢ $675 4h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 0¢ $0 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 0¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 -38.2% -44.1% 13% 8% -11.0%
≤30d 279 +31.9% +19.4% 28% 20% +11.0%
≤90d 279 +31.9% +19.4% 28% 20% +11.0%
all 279 +31.9% +19.4% 28% 20% +11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover165.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.4% 20% +11.0%
10% +7.9% 18% +0.3%
15% ← realistic here -2.5% 16% -9.4%
20% -12.0% 15% -18.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103,398.88 · official $103,403.17 (match) · 3500 history records