Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:16:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe543…3665 crypto 51 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$5 (+0%) realized +$5 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate92%47W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day54.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -0.0% -9.5% 92% 8% -9.5%
≤30d 51 -0.0% -9.5% 92% 8% -9.5%
≤90d 51 -0.0% -9.5% 92% 8% -9.5%
all 51 -0.0% -9.5% 92% 8% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 8% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$11 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses47 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day54.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 51 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $14 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$6 -25%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$7 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$5 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$4 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $19 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $19 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $25 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 102 history records