Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:32:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe548…2ecf
crypto · 533 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,561 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,561 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,561
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses450 / 116
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)566 / 533
History coverage15d
Avg bet$192
Trades / day197.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 566 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$376
7 days−$757
14 days−$2,240
30 days−$2,561
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 47¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 43¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 95¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 50¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 50¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 40¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 43¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 80¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 74¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 93¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 89¢ $366 $0 −$366 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 74¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 50¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 70¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 74¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$9 -2096%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$19 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$5 -2121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$26 +506%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$22 +371%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$16 +562%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$24 -329%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$26 -134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$19 -454%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$9 +357%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$11 -81%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$32 -160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$40 -2738%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$36 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $230 +$15 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$9 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $337 −$12 -4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $182 +$38 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$3 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $57 +$2 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$16 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $175 +$29 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $256 −$113 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $263 +$33 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $241 +$19 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$30 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$23 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $28 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $27 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $8 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $13 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $23 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $13 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $23 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $24 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $28 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $26 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $26 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $25 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $28 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $28 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $26 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $26 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $25 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $26 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $23 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $21 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $24 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $22 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 244 -3.5% -12.7% 73% 19% -12.1%
≤30d 566 -1.0% -10.4% 80% 30% -11.7%
≤90d 566 -1.0% -10.4% 80% 30% -11.7%
all 566 -1.0% -10.4% 80% 30% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover197.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 30% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 3% -20.1%
15% -26.8% 1% -27.8%
20% -34.0% 1% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.00 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records