Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:41:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe555…573a
other · 52 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$20 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$0
Realized+$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses20 / 32
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)52 / 52
History coverage74d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 0 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$56
14 days+$56
30 days+$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $136 +$10 +8%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $33 +$43 +132%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $52 +$8 +15%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $106 −$54 -51%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $60 +$32 +54%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $39 +$8 +20%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $30 +$9 +31%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $29 +$31 +105%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $31 −$2 -6%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 13 $12 −$11 -92%
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in Apr 13 $12 $0 +3%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore Apr 12 $16 +$4 +27%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans Apr 12 $8 $0 +3%
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? Apr 12 $11 +$1 +9%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals Apr 11 $31 −$5 -18%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 11 $19 +$1 +3%
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09? Apr 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 09 $15 −$4 -28%
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t Apr 09 $10 $0 -4%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? Apr 08 $2 +$2 +134%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Ki Apr 05 $26 −$7 -25%
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-04-04? Apr 05 $6 −$3 -53%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 05 $1 $0 -2%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 05 $2 $0 +5%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? Apr 05 $1 +$2 +118%
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? Apr 04 $2 $0 -10%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 04 $11 −$6 -52%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $3 −$2 -64%
Will Gujarat Titans win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Apr 04 $1 $0 -1%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 04 $12 −$5 -43%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $2 $0 +12%
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings? Apr 04 $1 $0 -4%
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Apr 04 $1 $0 -13%
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Apr 04 $1 $0 -0%
Will Delhi Capitals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Apr 04 $2 $0 -0%
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Apr 04 $1 $0 +0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $1 $0 -1%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $1 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $1 $0 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $1 $0 -0%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 04 $1 $0 -0%
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Apr 04 $2 $0 -0%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Apr 04 $4 +$1 +28%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Apr 03 $2 $0 +1%
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, Apr 03 $1 $0 -6%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? Apr 03 $1 $0 -16%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Apr 02 $1 $0 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% +$35
sports 25% −$23
politics 5% +$1
finance 1% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $146 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 92¢ $136 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $76 13h
Australia leading at halftime? SELL Yes 99¢ $60 14h
Australia leading at halftime? BUY Yes 85¢ $52 15h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 29¢ $52 15h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 42¢ $33 15h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $106 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 99¢ $92 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 99¢ $47 16h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 81¢ $39 16h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $39 19h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 74¢ $30 19h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $60 39h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $60 41h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $29 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $29 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $30 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $31 2d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals SELL Rajasthan Royals $1 62d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals BUY Rajasthan Royals 74¢ $12 62d
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in SELL Yes 67¢ $13 62d
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in BUY Yes 65¢ $12 62d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore SELL Royal Challengers Bangalore 100¢ $12 63d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 67¢ $8 63d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore SELL Royal Challengers Bangalore 70¢ $8 63d
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalore BUY Royal Challengers Bangalore 66¢ $8 63d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans SELL Gujarat Titans 100¢ $8 63d
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titans BUY Gujarat Titans 97¢ $8 63d
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? SELL Yes 83¢ $8 63d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +20.8% +9.3% 70% 60% -0.3%
≤30d 10 +20.8% +9.3% 70% 60% -0.3%
≤90d 52 -3.7% -12.8% 38% 21% -8.1%
all 52 -3.7% -12.8% 38% 21% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 21% -8.1%
10% -21.2% 15% -16.9%
15% -28.8% 10% -24.9%
20% -35.8% 10% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 137 history records