Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe556…3157
crypto · 127 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$220 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$220 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$220
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses79 / 53
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 127
History coverage111d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day29.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 132 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$446
7 days+$446
14 days+$446
30 days+$446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$86 +253916%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$83 +92791%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$118 +216543%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 +$68 +160804%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$269 +1106007%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $97 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$20 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $353 +$117 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $232 −$232 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$26 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Feb 26 $118 +$19 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Feb 26 $15 −$5 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Feb 26 $235 −$195 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Feb 25 $95 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Feb 25 $38 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Feb 25 $48 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Feb 25 $53 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Feb 25 $46 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Feb 25 $25 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Feb 24 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Feb 24 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Feb 24 $38 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Feb 24 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Feb 24 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Feb 24 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Feb 24 $124 +$6 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$404
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 19¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $6 107d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $11 107d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 107d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $46 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $13 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $77 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $20 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 108d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+51.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +257.6% +223.5% 41% 26% -23.4%
≤30d 34 +257.6% +223.5% 41% 26% -23.4%
≤90d 34 +257.6% +223.5% 41% 26% -23.4%
all 132 +67.9% +51.9% 60% 21% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +51.9% 21% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here +37.3% 10% -21.1%
15% +24.1% 8% -28.8%
20% +11.9% 6% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records