Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:20:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E5 0xe55e…0a13 crypto 1162 markets active 4d ago coverage 203d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$135 (-3%) realized −$135 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate47%545W / 617L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day10.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$87
14 days−$29
30 days−$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$140
world 2% −$91
economics 0% −$4
other 0% −$7
weather 0% −$4
sports 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -39.9% -45.6% 29% 19% -26.8%
≤30d 1104 -8.9% -17.6% 48% 42% -12.3%
≤90d 1113 -8.9% -17.6% 48% 42% -12.1%
all 1162 -9.3% -17.9% 47% 42% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.9% 42% -14.1%
10% -25.8% 35% -22.3%
15% -32.9% 27% -29.8%
20% -39.5% 22% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -20% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

203d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$135
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses545 / 617
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1162 / 1162
History coverage203d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1162 Trades
no open positions (339 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2853 history records