Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:25:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe564…221a
sports · 1283 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,765 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,836 · open +$71
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$128
Realized−$4,836
Unrealized+$71
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses374 / 905
Est. fees paid−$493
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1279 / 1283
History coverage95d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day27.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 4 History 1279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$969
7 days−$1,084
14 days−$2,721
30 days−$3,679
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 26¢ 52¢ $32 $64 +$32 (+99%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 7¢ 48¢ $7 $49 +$42 (+600%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 10¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$1 (-15%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 13¢ 10¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-22%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Team Falcons 37¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 39¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 27¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 33¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$5 +262%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 11 $5 −$4 -75%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $70 −$70 -100%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $220 −$156 -71%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $151 −$124 -82%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $182 −$79 -43%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $334 −$276 -83%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $29 −$29 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $36 −$5 -15%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $48 −$47 -98%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 11 $73 −$72 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $85 −$83 -98%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $11 −$1 -11%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $9 −$2 -20%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $10 −$1 -8%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $12 −$9 -73%
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $38 −$2 -5%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -14%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $9 −$1 -10%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $37 −$4 -11%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -27%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $4 −$1 -25%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $37 −$36 -97%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 −$1 -25%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $43 +$45 +106%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) Jun 11 $29 −$5 -18%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $31 −$2 -8%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $49 −$2 -5%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $59 −$37 -63%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $98 −$51 -53%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $87 −$87 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5 Jun 11 $20 +$12 +62%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $92 +$155 +168%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $182 +$343 +188%
Set Handicap: Hanfmann (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5) Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $14 −$14 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Carolin Raschdorf vs Denisa Zoldakova Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $43 −$43 -100%
ITF Casablanca: Zeel Desai vs Alina Mokrynska Jun 10 $44 −$44 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$3,981
crypto 8% −$518
other 3% −$260
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
finance 0% −$7
culture 0% +$4
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 10¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 26¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 7¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 11¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 19¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 27¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 8¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 29¢ $7 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 39¢ $29 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 34¢ $29 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 33¢ $27 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 33¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 33¢ $10 23h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 40¢ $36 23h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 37¢ $73 26h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 27¢ $85 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $92 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 74¢ $93 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 14¢ $11 26h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 73¢ $11 26h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 19¢ $9 27h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $5 27h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $4 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 20¢ $9 27h
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch SELL AM Gaming 36¢ $9 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 27h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S SELL RUSTEC 25¢ $1 27h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 20¢ $20 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -29.3% -36.0% 20% 19% -26.5%
≤30d 436 -18.3% -26.1% 26% 25% -27.2%
≤90d 1229 -12.5% -20.9% 29% 28% -22.6%
all 1279 -12.8% -21.1% 29% 28% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.1% 28% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -28.7% 27% -29.8%
15% -35.6% 27% -36.5%
20% -41.9% 25% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $128.26 · official $128.26 (match) · 3500 history records