trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +77.7% | +60.8% | 59% | 59% | +2.8% |
| ≤30d | 33 | +42.3% | +28.8% | 55% | 55% | -3.0% |
| ≤90d | 90 | +24.7% | +12.8% | 51% | 50% | -1.3% |
| all | 311 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 48% | 47% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.0% | 47% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.7% | 47% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.6% | 47% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -32.9% | 45% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $55 | $55 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will the NYSE choose Ethereum? | Yes | 87¢ | 33¢ | $20 | $8 | −$12 (-62%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $5 | −$5 (-53%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $61 | −$43 | -70% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $31 | +$44 | +144% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $61 | +$41 | +67% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $20 | +$28 | +140% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $81 | −$4 | -5% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $41 | +$38 | +93% |
| Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$56 | +550% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $10 | +$37 | +365% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $20 | +$20 | +97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $212 | +$72 | +34% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Jun 13 | $10 | +$17 | +165% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $20 | +$21 | +105% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $72 | −$70 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $101 | −$62 | -61% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $71 | +$73 | +102% |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) | Jun 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | Jun 06 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 06 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | Jun 06 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17? | Jun 06 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? | Jun 06 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $224 | −$224 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 06 | $101 | +$91 | +90% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 04 | $51 | +$51 | +101% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $102 | −$4 | -4% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $101 | +$84 | +83% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | May 30 | $51 | +$45 | +89% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $9 | +$15 | +158% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $101 | +$50 | +50% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi | May 15 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $31 | +$38 | +124% |
| Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $20 | +$16 | +77% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 15 | $51 | −$47 | -91% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | May 15 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-10.5) | May 15 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 15 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | May 15 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | May 15 | $26 | +$16 | +61% |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $30 | −$18 | -60% |
| Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $51 | +$24 | +48% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $20 | +$31 | +152% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | May 12 | $25 | +$8 | +33% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $31 | +$31 | +102% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 12 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |