Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:38:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe573…ae05
crypto · 2067 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$581 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$581 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$581
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses1102 / 762
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1864 / 2067
History coverage40d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown42%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 0 History 1864 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$214
7 days+$241
14 days+$636
30 days+$592
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 11? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 28? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 11? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 28? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 26? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 27? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 25? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 29 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 19? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 26? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 6? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 20 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on Mar Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 26? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 29? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 9? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 27? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 29 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on March 25? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 30? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 29? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 20? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 3? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 5? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 27? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 3? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$8 -201%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 9? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 3? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 25? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 8? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 2? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 6? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on March 29? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 25? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 6? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on March 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on March 26? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on March 2? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 26 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 5? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on February 26 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$1,009
other 6% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $4 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 454 +25.3% +13.4% 57% 57% +2.3%
≤30d 1288 +18.6% +7.3% 61% 61% +3.9%
≤90d 1864 +12.4% +1.7% 59% 59% +1.2%
all 1864 +12.4% +1.7% 59% 59% +1.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 59% +1.2%
10% ← realistic here -8.0% 59% -8.5%
15% -16.9% 57% -17.3%
20% -25.0% 54% -25.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records