trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -29.1% | -35.9% | 20% | 20% | -30.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -29.1% | -35.9% | 20% | 20% | -30.3% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -29.1% | -35.9% | 20% | 20% | -30.3% |
| all | 18 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 39% | 33% | +0.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.3% | 33% | +0.4% |
| 10% | -29.7% | 28% | -9.2% |
| 15% | -36.5% | 22% | -17.9% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 17% | -26.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $47 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 18 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $39 | −$28 | -72% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $41 | −$28 | -69% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $42 | +$75 | +177% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$8 | -82% |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 15? | Aug 16 | $69 | +$66 | +96% |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31? | Aug 11 | $18 | −$10 | -54% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | Aug 08 | $179 | −$12 | -7% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | Aug 08 | $100 | +$35 | +34% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | Jul 28 | $70 | +$30 | +43% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | Jul 14 | $42 | +$29 | +69% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Jul 05 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4? | Jul 05 | $56 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks? | Jul 04 | $5 | −$4 | -89% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of | Jul 04 | $8 | −$6 | -81% |
| Iranian hackers release Trump emails by next Friday? | Jul 03 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Trump x Zelenskyy talk before August? | Jul 03 | $5 | −$2 | -46% |
| Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3? | Jul 03 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |