Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:16:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe57c…6d30
sports · 33 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$30 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$11
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses11 / 19
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions3
Markets (closed)30 / 33
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day17.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 3 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$35
14 days−$35
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Over 45¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Over 13¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 59¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Yes 64¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 64¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $2 +$9 +442%
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 −$2 -8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 +$11 +107%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$14 +67%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $46 −$2 -4%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$8 +53%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 −$15 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$42
crypto 38% +$6
other 3% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes $1 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 51¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Australia O/U 2.5 BUY Over 18¢ $1 7h
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 9h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 9h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 9h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 32¢ $3 9h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $5 13h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 13h
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? BUY Yes 68¢ $5 13h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 44¢ $19 13h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $21 14h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 64¢ $10 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $15 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $4 34h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 34h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 34h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $20 34h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 51¢ $2 34h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 55¢ $12 45h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 45h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $20 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 13¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $11 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $5 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 50¢ $33 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -27.1% -34.1% 37% 30% -18.6%
≤30d 30 -27.1% -34.1% 37% 30% -18.6%
≤90d 30 -27.1% -34.1% 37% 30% -18.6%
all 30 -27.1% -34.1% 37% 30% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.1% 30% -18.6%
10% -40.4% 23% -26.4%
15% -46.1% 23% -33.5%
20% -51.4% 20% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.83 · official $10.83 (match) · 64 history records