Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:42:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E5 0xe57f…7337 crypto 1188 markets active 1h ago coverage 65d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$390 (+1%) realized +$390 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate86%1023W / 165L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$43per market
Trades / day19.2pace
Fees−$29est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$120
7 days+$433
14 days+$586
30 days+$472
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$480
sports 5% −$266
other 0% −$74
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 172 +0.2% -9.3% 87% 20% -7.0%
≤30d 424 -1.6% -10.9% 87% 20% -7.6%
≤90d 1188 -1.3% -10.7% 86% 25% -9.3%
all 1188 -1.3% -10.7% 86% 25% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 25% -9.3%
10% -19.2% 10% -18.0%
15% -27.0% 6% -25.9%
20% -34.2% 4% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$26 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.03 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$390
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses1023 / 165
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1188 / 1188
History coverage65d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day19.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1188 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $151 +$23 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $351 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $125 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $350 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $35 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 17 $351 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $352 +$29 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $120 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $120 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $126 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $35 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $150 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $151 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $75 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $36 +$13 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $151 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $55 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 16 $150 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $55 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $110 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $56 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $80 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $75 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $335 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $150 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $25 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $151 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $55 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $351 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $125 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $350 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $351 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $352 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $300 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $120 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $120 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $126 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $35 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $150 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $15 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $35 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $150 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2611 history records