Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:34:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe581…d77a
sports · 799 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$330 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$316 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$316
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses321 / 421
Est. fees paid−$104
Open positions57
Markets (closed)742 / 799
History coverage23d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day137.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 57 History 742 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$72
7 days−$289
14 days−$169
30 days−$316
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 33¢ 22¢ $9 $6 −$3 (-32%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) San Diego Padres 83¢ 68¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-18%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Over 79¢ 79¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Under 60¢ 44¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-28%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Baltimore Orioles 67¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 78¢ 84¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+7%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Over 69¢ 72¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5 Over 52¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Over 79¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-6%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) Baltimore Orioles 56¢ 32¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-43%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Under 37¢ 21¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-43%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Over 57¢ 57¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+27%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Over 70¢ 40¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-44%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 46¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-5%)
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 75¢ 72¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Under 27¢ 50¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+83%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Toronto Blue Jays 39¢ 70¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+81%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Over 58¢ 38¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-34%)
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) San Diego Padres 46¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-31%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Over 68¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) New York Mets 80¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-20%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Under 35¢ 32¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Over 60¢ 92¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+53%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Under 37¢ 54¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$3 +54%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) Jun 13 $13 +$5 +35%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $29 +$4 +14%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5) Jun 13 $7 $0 -0%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 13 $19 −$1 -4%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $33 +$7 +21%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 −$3 -63%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$2 -42%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $8 −$3 -42%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $20 +$11 +54%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $6 −$4 -70%
Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $71 $0 +0%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Jun 13 $11 −$3 -32%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $8 −$3 -31%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 13 $9 −$5 -53%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $21 −$10 -48%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5) Jun 13 $23 −$6 -26%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $17 −$13 -74%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $39 −$22 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on June 9? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +51%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $14 −$6 -41%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $6 −$2 -40%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $7 −$3 -37%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +84%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $8 +$5 +72%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5) Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $4 −$1 -20%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 −$1 -27%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5) Jun 13 $6 −$2 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$319
weather 4% −$12
other 0% −$5
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 85¢ $1 2m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 44¢ $2 2m
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) BUY Baltimore Orioles 69¢ $4 2m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 68¢ $1 2m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 27¢ $1 3m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 95¢ $4 3m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 SELL Over 38¢ $2 4m
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) BUY San Diego Padres 83¢ $2 5m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 60¢ $4 5m
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) BUY San Diego Padres 83¢ $4 5m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 37¢ $3 5m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 35¢ $2 5m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1 5m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 65¢ $1 5m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 60¢ $1 5m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 95¢ $3 6m
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 47¢ $1 6m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 77¢ $1 6m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 99¢ $1 7m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 SELL Over 99¢ $2 7m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 SELL Over 99¢ $5 7m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 39¢ $1 7m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) BUY Toronto Blue Jays 66¢ $1 7m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 21¢ $1 8m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 44¢ $2 9m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 73¢ $4 9m
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) BUY San Diego Padres 63¢ $1 10m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 44¢ $2 10m
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) SELL Milwaukee Brewers 98¢ $1 10m
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) BUY New York Yankees 72¢ $1 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 300 -16.0% -24.0% 38% 31% -21.2%
≤30d 742 -10.0% -18.6% 43% 35% -14.0%
≤90d 742 -10.0% -18.6% 43% 35% -14.0%
all 742 -10.0% -18.6% 43% 35% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover137.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 35% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 23% -22.2%
15% -33.5% 15% -29.7%
20% -40.0% 10% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $96.16 · official $85.17 · 3500 history records