Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:44:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe58b…3980
weather · 1197 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$135 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$135 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$104
Realized−$135
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses1090 / 104
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1194 / 1197
History coverage53d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day57.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 1194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$64
14 days−$26
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 +$8 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 +$3 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 13 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $35 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $21 −$19 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $150 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? Jun 12 $11 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on June 12? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 11? Jun 11 $41 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju Jun 11 $21 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on Ju Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $40 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11? Jun 11 $7 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$135
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 5m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 5m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 5m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 5m
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 5m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $59 19m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 29m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 29m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 29m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 29m
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 29m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $50 30m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 31m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $53 32m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $54 33m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $10 38m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 87¢ $10 38m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 83¢ $10 38m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 83¢ $10 38m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 83¢ $10 38m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $100 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -2.6% -11.9% 93% 4% -10.3%
≤30d 552 -2.7% -12.0% 94% 6% -10.1%
≤90d 1194 -0.6% -10.1% 91% 4% -10.0%
all 1194 -0.6% -10.1% 91% 4% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 4% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 1% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 1% -26.4%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $103.62 · official $103.62 (match) · 3500 history records