| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? |
Jun 10 |
$10 |
+$15 |
+150% |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? |
Jun 10 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? |
May 19 |
$26 |
+$8 |
+32% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? |
May 12 |
$1 |
$0 |
-1% |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9 |
May 10 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between |
May 10 |
$10 |
−$10 |
-100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 24? |
May 10 |
$3 |
−$3 |
-100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25? |
May 10 |
$4 |
−$4 |
-100% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026? |
May 10 |
$80 |
−$80 |
-100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? |
May 10 |
$173 |
−$173 |
-100% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? |
May 10 |
$56 |
+$20 |
+35% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 23? |
Apr 23 |
$10 |
+$15 |
+154% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? |
Apr 19 |
$109 |
−$109 |
-100% |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? |
Apr 16 |
$165 |
−$118 |
-71% |
| Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026? |
Apr 16 |
$107 |
−$107 |
-100% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? |
Apr 16 |
$116 |
+$31 |
+27% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? |
Apr 16 |
$96 |
−$37 |
-38% |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? |
Apr 15 |
$54 |
+$55 |
+102% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? |
Apr 14 |
$172 |
−$80 |
-46% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? |
Apr 14 |
$31 |
+$24 |
+79% |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026? |
Apr 09 |
$66 |
−$66 |
-100% |
| Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026? |
Apr 08 |
$81 |
+$30 |
+37% |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? |
Apr 07 |
$105 |
+$35 |
+34% |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 202 |
Apr 05 |
$79 |
+$42 |
+54% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? |
Apr 05 |
$44 |
+$11 |
+25% |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? |
Apr 04 |
$126 |
−$126 |
-100% |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 04 |
$23 |
+$8 |
+33% |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 202 |
Apr 03 |
$173 |
+$85 |
+49% |
| ChatGPT Outage by April 3? |
Apr 03 |
$22 |
−$22 |
-100% |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026? |
Apr 02 |
$33 |
+$18 |
+54% |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026? |
Apr 02 |
$109 |
−$109 |
-100% |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$43 |
+$12 |
+28% |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$90 |
+$30 |
+33% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$50 |
−$50 |
-100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$50 |
−$50 |
-100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? |
Apr 01 |
$30 |
+$10 |
+33% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? |
Apr 01 |
$126 |
+$69 |
+55% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 01 |
$20 |
−$20 |
-100% |
| Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31? |
Apr 01 |
$29 |
+$6 |
+21% |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? |
Apr 01 |
$41 |
+$22 |
+53% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? |
Apr 01 |
$82 |
+$18 |
+22% |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? |
Mar 30 |
$17 |
−$7 |
-43% |
| Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? |
Mar 27 |
$34 |
−$34 |
-100% |
| Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026? |
Mar 27 |
$16 |
−$16 |
-100% |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? |
Mar 27 |
$200 |
−$132 |
-66% |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? |
Mar 26 |
$73 |
+$121 |
+167% |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 202 |
Mar 26 |
$40 |
+$27 |
+68% |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 202 |
Mar 25 |
$4 |
+$1 |
+24% |
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? |
Mar 25 |
$102 |
−$87 |
-85% |
| Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 21, 2026? |
Mar 25 |
$16 |
+$4 |
+21% |