Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:12:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe593…b944
crypto · 338 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$413 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$406 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$406
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses192 / 147
Whale WR (big bets)25%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)339 / 338
History coverage2d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day1829.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 339 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$406
7 days−$406
14 days−$406
30 days−$406
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+193%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$103 +109851%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$32 +32020%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $79 +$45 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$27 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$55 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$23 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $463 −$118 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $524 −$386 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$10 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $798 −$177 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $616 +$74 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $509 −$26 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$7 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $683 −$62 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$16 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $590 −$63 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$21 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $65 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$13 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $155 +$31 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $174 +$12 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $252 +$58 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$9 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $38 +$12 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $176 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$8 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $96 +$28 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$27 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$12 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$86 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $156 +$61 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $788 −$199 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $525 +$33 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$34 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$548
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $22 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $28 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $21 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $15 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $19 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $8 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $13 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $21 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $22 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $24 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $7 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $24 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $20 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $68 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $39 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $28 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 +12.1% +1.5% 57% 39% -12.5%
≤30d 339 +12.1% +1.5% 57% 39% -12.5%
≤90d 339 +12.1% +1.5% 57% 39% -12.5%
all 339 +12.1% +1.5% 57% 39% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1829.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.5% 39% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -8.3% 25% -20.9%
15% -17.1% 14% -28.5%
20% -25.2% 9% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.63 · official $0.47 (match) · 3500 history records